The Wall Street market analyst Bob Farell, who worked as the head of research for Merill Lynch, is a world-renowned expert in strategic market analysis. Farrell’s timeless advice is valuable for investors who want to succeed amidst the challenges of an ever-changing market. Here are Bob Farell’s Top 9 Winning Strategies for Investors.
- Markets always return to average price levels
Markets are inherently volatile and expeditiously affected by geopolitical issues, social trends, and natural catastrophes that drive price fluctuation. History has shown that markets bubble and crash repeatedly. But history also teaches us that markets can recover, since extreme economic stressors do not last too long and the market’s turbulent nature inevitably (and ironically) leads to average prices over time.
A wise investor does not easily panic and will see to it that he or she can protect assets until prices have stabilized again, thus preventing unnecessary losses. Focus on what matters the most, and avoid being swayed by the daily market turmoil.
- Curb the tendency to excess buying or selling
When markets overreach, we may anticipate an overcorrection. An overcorrection might result in excesses since a correction is defined as a change of more than 10% from an asset’s peak price. Investors are given extremely fantastic buying opportunities during a market meltdown. However, they frequently overcorrect by either buying or selling too much than they can handle.
Smart investors will be cautious of this and will have the time and knowledge to take prudent measures to protect their capital.
- Set realistic expectations – even when the market is in your favor
Even the most successful investors have a propensity to think that their potential for profit is limitless when things are going favorably their way. Nothing lasts forever, especially in the financial and investment trading industry. Don’t count your chickens before they have all come home to roost, whether you’re riding market lows that give purchasing possibilities or soaring at highs to make gains by selling. After all, markets revert to the mean. Trading at the right moment is the winning strategy.
- Limit potential losses by setting stop orders
Markets that move quickly often correct quickly, which can make it difficult for investors to consider their next move. The takeaway is to set stop orders, or pre-set entry and exit point prices on your trades to prevent emotional reactions and to be decisive when trading quickly changing markets.
When asset prices move past a certain point, stop orders can assist traders in two different ways. They can assist investors in limiting the amount of money they lose or in helping them lock in a profit when prices fluctuate in either way by identifying a specific entry or exit point.
- Determine public market trends, and then do the opposite
The ordinary investor generally buys assets when their price peaks and panic sells when it starts crashing. Unfortunately, a lot of people who invest have this mindset and blindly believe in self-proclaimed financial gurus. Their investment strategies are driven by media hype and buzz trends, which results in profit loss and diminishing gains.
The savvy investor wins by rejecting herd mentality and doing the opposite of what the public does. They maximize profits by buying when an asset’s price drops and selling it in a bull market.
- Look at the bigger picture; larger indices are the key
While concentrating on popular index averages has many benefits, the underlying strength of the market as a whole determines the strength of a market move. Therefore, larger averages provide a more accurate assessment of market strength. Because of this, it can be beneficial to track other indices—at least ones that are distinct from the S&P 500 and other well-known benchmarks.
To better understand the health of any market movement, think about keeping an eye on the Wilshire 5000 index or a few of the Russell indices. The almost 4,000 American companies that are traded on an American market and whose pricing is open to the public make up the Wilshire 5000 index.
- Be clear and disciplined with your objectives
Ordinary investors usually get into trading without a definite plan besides the hazy desire to get rich fast by investing in a few promising assets that some financial guru convinced them to. They quickly realize that they need more trading skills and knowledge about market trends, but find themselves in a confusing limbo since they have already invested all their money despite not knowing exactly what to do.
The successful investor sets clear goals and objectives and has a trading plan to get desired results or profits within a timeframe. The successful investor also fully knows his or her limitations and avoids trading beyond his or her financial capabilities. He or she also knows the best times to exit to reap profits before experiencing losses in a bear market. The strategic investor has mastered the art of timing.
- Understand market patterns
Market analysts say that both bull and bear market action exhibit the same patterns. A bear pattern typically starts with a huge sell-off. Prices typically decline by 20% or more during a bear market and frequently encompass whole indices. Bear markets are often triggered by weak or diminishing economic activity.
A bursting of inflation levels, followed by a steep decline in prices, leading to an asset’s real valuation and an overall pessimistic forecast about investments are the final stages of a bear market.
Some investors are lured into buying an asset in a bear trend when it temporarily hits a price high. This is often instigated by sucker’s rallies. Sucker’s rallies are created when bad investors (called suckers) lure in buyers by promising that prices (of a down-trending asset) will still go higher. These hypes often prove to be short-lived before they experience further losses in a failing asset.
The wise investor avoids bad decisions fueled by false hypes.
- Combat false speculation with data and common sense
Trendy forecasts and speculative commentaries are popular in the financial industry. There is no shortage of financial gurus who will give you bad advice, either to buy or sell mindlessly.
There are no more buyers once everyone who wants to purchase has done so. The same happens when everyone who wants to sell has done so. Either way, the market has to cap. So, when market analysts and projections advise you to sell all you have or buy everything you can, be careful to realize that everyone is going on that bandwagon.
Nobody ever claimed investing was simple. There is a lot at stake and a lot to consider. It’s easy to get swept up in the ups and downs of emotions, market hype, and competition, whether you are a new trader or have been following the markets for a long time. But if you adhere to Bob Ferrell’s tried-and-true strategies, you might end up winning.
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